Global chemical producer Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) announced Wednesday that it would raise prices on all 3,200 of its products – some by as much as 20% – beginning at the start of the third quarter.
Bloomberg News said it's the single-biggest price increase in the Michigan-based company's 111-year history. But Dow Chief Executive Officer Andrew Liveris said the price hike was made necessary by "unparalleled" increases in the costs of energy, transportation and raw materials, which together boosted Dow's expenses 42% in the first quarter.
Does anyone actually believe the US Governments 3% inflation numbers?
Friday, May 30, 2008
Thursday, May 29, 2008
Food Inflation At Record Levels
According to USA Today, Food inflation is the highest in almost two decades, driven by record prices for oil, gas and mounting global demand for staples such as wheat and corn, and for proteins such as chicken. And that's reaching into Americans' backyards.
Basic economics account for most of the increase: Bad weather has hurt crops, economic prosperity has driven up demand in developing countries, and surging fuel prices have raised transportation costs.
Economists and food scientists have argued that biofuel production is also a major factor in rising food costs, particularly corn, and that it should be scaled back. Meat and poultry executives have come out against federal ethanol mandates, which they say is driving the cost of corn higher.
Carol Tucker-Foreman, food policy expert at Consumer Federation of America, said high-fructose corn syrup can be found in just about anything you'd find at a cookout or picnic.
"The backyard barbecue is where you'll see the most impact from the government's decision to subsidize the use of food to put fuel in our cars," she said."
This year, the price for a pack of hot dogs has climbed almost 7% to $4.29. A 2-liter bottle of soda and a 16-ounce bag of potato chips both jumped more than 10% to $1.33 and $3.89, respectively, while a package of eight hamburger buns costs $1.61, 17% more.
Basic economics account for most of the increase: Bad weather has hurt crops, economic prosperity has driven up demand in developing countries, and surging fuel prices have raised transportation costs.
Economists and food scientists have argued that biofuel production is also a major factor in rising food costs, particularly corn, and that it should be scaled back. Meat and poultry executives have come out against federal ethanol mandates, which they say is driving the cost of corn higher.
Carol Tucker-Foreman, food policy expert at Consumer Federation of America, said high-fructose corn syrup can be found in just about anything you'd find at a cookout or picnic.
"The backyard barbecue is where you'll see the most impact from the government's decision to subsidize the use of food to put fuel in our cars," she said."
This year, the price for a pack of hot dogs has climbed almost 7% to $4.29. A 2-liter bottle of soda and a 16-ounce bag of potato chips both jumped more than 10% to $1.33 and $3.89, respectively, while a package of eight hamburger buns costs $1.61, 17% more.
Sunday, May 18, 2008
Attractive Brazilian Stocks To Consider
According to Martin Hutchinson, there are more than 30 Brazilian companies with full American Depository Receipt (ADR) listings on the New York Stock Exchange, plus 40-50 more that are traded in the over-the-counter market. Here are a few attractive examples to consider:
* Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA, referred to usually as Banco Itau (ADR: ITU), has a Price/Earnings ratio of 14 and dividend yield of 2.4%. Brazilian banks earn very high returns, primarily from domestic market lending in reals. Including Banco Itau, there are three large ones listed on the Big Board in New York; the other two are Banco Bradesco SA (ADR: BBD) and Uniao Bancos Brasile SA (Unibanco) (ADR: UBB). However, Itau is the cheapest of the three, though only slightly.
* Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, now referred to only as Vale (ADR: RIO), is one of the true global blue chips, with a market capitalization of almost $200 billion. An iron-ore company with ancillary operations in gold, nickel, copper and other metals, its shares trade at a reasonably valued 13 times earnings, though its dividend yield is only 1.2%.
* Petrobras (ADR: PBR) is one of the few emerging market oil companies with access to modern technology - and the willingness to work with the oil majors. Its shares are up 168% in the past year, but the stock’s P/E still is only 16. It has a 1.3% yield. The possible upside: It finds another gigantic offshore oilfield. The possible downside: Oil drops back to $50 a barrel. If the world’s monetary authorities get serious about imposing higher interest rates to fight inflation, PBR and RIO would probably suffer as commodities prices fall back to earth.
* Companhia de Saneamento Basico (Sabesp) (ADR: SBS) is the water and sewage system provider for Sao Paulo. Now that’s a growth business, and not dependent on commodity prices. With a P/E of only 9.2 and a yield of 2.7%, this is one stock I have to say I love.
* TNE (ADR: TNE) There are a bunch of Brazilian cell phone companies, but TNE appears to be the cheapest. It’s concentrated in the populous southeast and northeast regions of Brazil, with a P/E ratio of only 7 and yield of 4.25%.
* Telecomunicacoes de Sao Paulo SA, or Telesp (ADR: TSP) provides the fixed line telephone system for Sao Paulo. Before you sneer, consider this: the company has a dividend yield of 9.8% and a P/E ratio of 10 (which means the dividend is only just covered). And it’s majority owned by Spain’s Telefonica.
* Voturantim Cellulose (ADR: VCP) is a pulp and paper company, with a P/E ratio of 14 and a dividend yield of 2.8%. Trees grow fast in the tropics and VCP definitely benefits from that!
* Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA, referred to usually as Banco Itau (ADR: ITU), has a Price/Earnings ratio of 14 and dividend yield of 2.4%. Brazilian banks earn very high returns, primarily from domestic market lending in reals. Including Banco Itau, there are three large ones listed on the Big Board in New York; the other two are Banco Bradesco SA (ADR: BBD) and Uniao Bancos Brasile SA (Unibanco) (ADR: UBB). However, Itau is the cheapest of the three, though only slightly.
* Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, now referred to only as Vale (ADR: RIO), is one of the true global blue chips, with a market capitalization of almost $200 billion. An iron-ore company with ancillary operations in gold, nickel, copper and other metals, its shares trade at a reasonably valued 13 times earnings, though its dividend yield is only 1.2%.
* Petrobras (ADR: PBR) is one of the few emerging market oil companies with access to modern technology - and the willingness to work with the oil majors. Its shares are up 168% in the past year, but the stock’s P/E still is only 16. It has a 1.3% yield. The possible upside: It finds another gigantic offshore oilfield. The possible downside: Oil drops back to $50 a barrel. If the world’s monetary authorities get serious about imposing higher interest rates to fight inflation, PBR and RIO would probably suffer as commodities prices fall back to earth.
* Companhia de Saneamento Basico (Sabesp) (ADR: SBS) is the water and sewage system provider for Sao Paulo. Now that’s a growth business, and not dependent on commodity prices. With a P/E of only 9.2 and a yield of 2.7%, this is one stock I have to say I love.
* TNE (ADR: TNE) There are a bunch of Brazilian cell phone companies, but TNE appears to be the cheapest. It’s concentrated in the populous southeast and northeast regions of Brazil, with a P/E ratio of only 7 and yield of 4.25%.
* Telecomunicacoes de Sao Paulo SA, or Telesp (ADR: TSP) provides the fixed line telephone system for Sao Paulo. Before you sneer, consider this: the company has a dividend yield of 9.8% and a P/E ratio of 10 (which means the dividend is only just covered). And it’s majority owned by Spain’s Telefonica.
* Voturantim Cellulose (ADR: VCP) is a pulp and paper company, with a P/E ratio of 14 and a dividend yield of 2.8%. Trees grow fast in the tropics and VCP definitely benefits from that!
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Investing In Japanese REITs
Here' a few good reasons why Japanese real estate is a great place for our money:
• Japanese real estate investment trusts (REITs) are a great bargain, down 29% since June 1.
• Dividend yields are the highest income plays in Japan, in the 4% range.
• There's a huge incentive to borrow and buy real estate, as "cap rates" (essentially the rent minus the costs of upkeep) are 4%-6%, while the cost of borrowing money is only 1.5%.
• Rents in Tokyo are up 30% in the past two years.
• The city is crawling with investment bankers looking to buy properties... companies like Goldman Sachs, which has already spent billions investing in Tokyo real estate.
• There is no supply... vacancy rates in Tokyo real estate are tight at 2.6% and there isn't much new building taking place.
The opportunity is enormous. Japanese real estate is literally selling at 1980s prices which leads many people to belive that its a really safe investment.
• Japanese real estate investment trusts (REITs) are a great bargain, down 29% since June 1.
• Dividend yields are the highest income plays in Japan, in the 4% range.
• There's a huge incentive to borrow and buy real estate, as "cap rates" (essentially the rent minus the costs of upkeep) are 4%-6%, while the cost of borrowing money is only 1.5%.
• Rents in Tokyo are up 30% in the past two years.
• The city is crawling with investment bankers looking to buy properties... companies like Goldman Sachs, which has already spent billions investing in Tokyo real estate.
• There is no supply... vacancy rates in Tokyo real estate are tight at 2.6% and there isn't much new building taking place.
The opportunity is enormous. Japanese real estate is literally selling at 1980s prices which leads many people to belive that its a really safe investment.
Brazil Still Booming
Petroleo Brasileiro SA, Brazil's state- controlled oil company, plans to add 14,000 engineers, geologists and drillers within three years as it develops the biggest crude discovery in the Western Hemisphere since 1976.
Petrobras, as the company is known, plans to expand its workforce 23 percent to about 74,000, surpassing Chevron Corp., the second-largest U.S. oil producer. The hiring binge is part of a $112.7 billion expansion that may allow Brazil to overtake the output of all OPEC members except Saudi Arabia.
Petrobras lacks the roughnecks, or rig workers, and other staff needed to tap billions of barrels that lie in the offshore oil finds. The company is trying to hire more than a dozen people a day amid intensifying competition for skilled oil workers after crude prices surged to a record.
– Bloomberg
Petrobras, as the company is known, plans to expand its workforce 23 percent to about 74,000, surpassing Chevron Corp., the second-largest U.S. oil producer. The hiring binge is part of a $112.7 billion expansion that may allow Brazil to overtake the output of all OPEC members except Saudi Arabia.
Petrobras lacks the roughnecks, or rig workers, and other staff needed to tap billions of barrels that lie in the offshore oil finds. The company is trying to hire more than a dozen people a day amid intensifying competition for skilled oil workers after crude prices surged to a record.
– Bloomberg
TransOcean's First Quarter Profit Doubles
Transocean Inc., the world's largest offshore oil driller, said first-quarter profit more than doubled as record crude prices increased exploration for new reserves.
Net income rose to $1.19 billion, or $3.71 a share, from $553 million, or $2.62, a year earlier, the Houston-based company said today in a statement.
Oil producers are expanding the search for untouched oil reserves from India to the Canadian Arctic as record prices make previously uneconomic fields worth drilling. Companies will spend $380 billion boring 20,000 offshore wells during the next five years, according to analysts at Douglas-Westwood Ltd.
Sales more than doubled to $3.11 billion from $1.33 billion. The average first-quarter rent for Transocean's ultra-deepwater floating rigs was $380,800 a day, up 26 percent from a year earlier.
The company tripled its cash and cash equivalents to $1.57 billion.
– Bloomberg
Net income rose to $1.19 billion, or $3.71 a share, from $553 million, or $2.62, a year earlier, the Houston-based company said today in a statement.
Oil producers are expanding the search for untouched oil reserves from India to the Canadian Arctic as record prices make previously uneconomic fields worth drilling. Companies will spend $380 billion boring 20,000 offshore wells during the next five years, according to analysts at Douglas-Westwood Ltd.
Sales more than doubled to $3.11 billion from $1.33 billion. The average first-quarter rent for Transocean's ultra-deepwater floating rigs was $380,800 a day, up 26 percent from a year earlier.
The company tripled its cash and cash equivalents to $1.57 billion.
– Bloomberg
Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Charlie Munger On Cash Generating Businesses
“We like businesses that drown in cash,” Charlie Munger said at the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting over the weekend, uttering the Munger-Buffett Mantra. When asked what kind of business they would buy during this “credit crisis,” Munger said businesses with tangible assets that “sweat” cash.
“We like ideas where you don’t have to carry to three decimal places,” Buffett chimed in, “simple ideas in which the bargains are apparent.”
Berkshire bought PetroChina back in 2002, for example, when it was a $35 billion company that Buffett thought was worth $100 billion. Buffett bought the stock having done nothing more than read the annual report. With that big a gap, it doesn’t matter whether the company was worth $80 billion or $120 billion. There was a wide margin of safety. The best ideas are obvious, and great precision is not required.
“If someone walked in here and weighed 350 pounds,” Buffett suggested, “I might not know he weighed 350 pounds, but I would know he was fat.”
“We like ideas where you don’t have to carry to three decimal places,” Buffett chimed in, “simple ideas in which the bargains are apparent.”
Berkshire bought PetroChina back in 2002, for example, when it was a $35 billion company that Buffett thought was worth $100 billion. Buffett bought the stock having done nothing more than read the annual report. With that big a gap, it doesn’t matter whether the company was worth $80 billion or $120 billion. There was a wide margin of safety. The best ideas are obvious, and great precision is not required.
“If someone walked in here and weighed 350 pounds,” Buffett suggested, “I might not know he weighed 350 pounds, but I would know he was fat.”
Time To Buy Taiwan Real Estate?
According the Wall Street Journal,
I guess Morgan Stanley missed it, else they would've jumped up with a newly created Taiwan Property ETF. Looks like it worth looking into.
Anticipation that a wave of cash from mainland China will eventually reach Taiwan is helping to turn its real estate into a hot property.
Markets in Taiwan, one of Asia's worst laggards as an investment destination in recent years, were livened up by the Nationalist Party's victory in the March 22 presidential election. On May 20, winner Ma Ying-jeou will be inaugurated, succeeding Chen Shui-bian of the Democratic Progressive Party.
Billy Yen, general manager for property brokerage DTZ Taiwan, estimates that home prices have risen as much as 30% since the voting. And he thinks that by the end of 2008, prices could be 60% higher than they were March 22.
The sharp change in sentiment is rooted in Mr. Ma's pledge to open Taiwan's property market to Chinese investors as part of a broader effort to more closely tie the economies of the mainland and Taiwan.
I guess Morgan Stanley missed it, else they would've jumped up with a newly created Taiwan Property ETF. Looks like it worth looking into.
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